By Brent
Published: March 11, 2008
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NHL LOTTERY DRAFT How does the NHL Lottery Draft system work? Who will get that all desirable #1 overall pick? It's a great question. Most of us know that the chances of a #1 overall pick is possible with a bottom 5 overall standing and some luck in the NHL draft lottery. So how do the numbers work out anyway? What are the chances and who has the chance!? Next year with Tavares eligible, the fine details will get even more exciting! What is the draft lottery?
Visit the blog of hockey journalist James Mirtle for some great insight into how it all works:
http://mirtle.blogspot.com/2008/03/how-lottery-draft-works.html 2008: WHO GETS THE BALLS!? WHO GETS #1? "The first 14 picks of the 2008 Entry Draft are determined by the NHL’s annual Draft Drawing, a weighted lottery system that is used to determine the order of selection. The 14 teams that do not qualify for the 2008 Stanley Cup Playoffs, or clubs that acquired those clubs’ 2008 first-round draft picks, participate in the drawing. The Club selected in the drawing may not move up more than four positions in the draft order, thus only the five Clubs with the fewest regular-season points have the opportunity to select first overall. No Club can move down more than one position as a result of the Draft Drawing." 2006 Example: 'BLUE BALLS' The St. Louis Blues finished last and had a 25% chance of winning the lottery, second last Pittsburgh was at 18.8% and thrid last Chicago was at 14.2%.
(25% = Team will hold 25% of a possible 1000 combinations that the four balls of the lottery machines spits out.) "Fourteen balls, numbered 1 to 14, were placed in a lottery machine. The machine expelled four balls, forming a series of numbers. The four-digit series resulting from the expulsion of the balls was matched against a probability chart that divided the possible combinations among the 14 participating clubs. The chart showed that the Blues had been assigned the numbers (11-14-13-1) that were expelled." "The remaining teams had the following chances: 8.1%, 6.2%, 4.7%, 3.6%, 2.7%, 2.1%, 1.5%, 1.1%, 0.8% and 0.5%"
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